Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.044370 0.051874 0.060131 0.069873 0.081034 0.093401 0.108124
2025-03-09 0.033081 0.042867 0.054650 0.069807 0.088707 0.111409 0.140648
2025-03-16 0.024535 0.034898 0.048423 0.067204 0.092411 0.124854 0.169510
2025-03-23 0.020473 0.031598 0.047175 0.070268 0.103257 0.148234 0.213634
2025-03-30 0.016737 0.027871 0.044499 0.070668 0.110206 0.166949 0.253545
2025-04-06 0.013439 0.024049 0.040891 0.068908 0.113482 0.180514 0.287381
2025-04-13 0.011015 0.021088 0.038007 0.067630 0.117027 0.194517 0.322987
2025-04-20 0.009894 0.020097 0.038100 0.071044 0.128235 0.221222 0.380559
2025-04-27 0.008835 0.018992 0.037773 0.073604 0.138192 0.246762 0.438554
2025-05-04 0.007381 0.016831 0.035175 0.071698 0.140111 0.259049 0.475696
2025-05-11 0.006331 0.015266 0.033419 0.071031 0.144026 0.274917 0.520104
2025-05-18 0.005305 0.013536 0.031041 0.068783 0.144649 0.284894 0.554903
2025-05-25 0.004481 0.012106 0.029089 0.067185 0.146478 0.297518 0.596227
2025-06-01 0.003963 0.011288 0.028309 0.067898 0.152936 0.319353 0.656482
2025-06-08 0.003327 0.010033 0.026337 0.065749 0.153276 0.329488 0.695559
2025-06-15 0.003109 0.009821 0.026751 0.068962 0.165232 0.363461 0.783545
2025-06-22 0.002765 0.009186 0.026036 0.069463 0.171357 0.386241 0.851291
2025-06-29 0.002364 0.008287 0.024502 0.067784 0.172414 0.398647 0.899101
2025-07-06 0.002041 0.007543 0.023232 0.066552 0.174308 0.412919 0.951837
2025-07-13 0.001938 0.007468 0.023754 0.069932 0.187385 0.452326 1.060416
2025-07-20 0.001811 0.007284 0.023942 0.072463 0.198685 0.488753 1.165343
2025-07-27 0.001556 0.006596 0.022560 0.070588 0.198945 0.500537 1.217627
2025-08-03 0.001371 0.006105 0.021670 0.069933 0.202172 0.519306 1.286738